Transvenous Pacing Leads and Systemic Thromboemboli in Patients With Intracardiac Shunts
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The risk of systemic thromboemboli associated with transvenous leads in the presence of an intracardiac shunt is currently unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: To define this risk, we conducted a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of 202 patients with intracardiac shunts: Sixty-four had transvenous leads (group 1), 56 had epicardial leads (group 2), and 82 had right-to-left shunts but no pacemaker or implantable cardioverter defibrillator leads (group 3). Patient-years were accrued until the occurrence of systemic thromboemboli or study termination. Censoring occurred in the event of complete shunt closure, death, or loss to follow-up. Mean ages for groups 1, 2, and 3 were 33.9+/-18.0, 22.2+/-12.6, and 22.9+/-15.0 years, respectively. Respective oxygen saturations were 91.2+/-9.1%, 88.1+/-8.1%, and 79.7+/-6.7%. During respective median follow-ups of 7.3, 9.3, and 17.0 years, 24 patients had at least 1 systemic thromboembolus: 10 (15.6%), 5 (8.9%), and 9 (11.0%) in groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Univariate risk factors were older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; P=0.0001), ongoing phlebotomy (HR, 3.1; P=0.0415), and an transvenous lead (HR, 2.4; P=0.0421). In multivariate, stepwise regression analyses, transvenous leads remained an independent predictor of systemic thromboemboli (HR, 2.6; P=0.0265). In patients with transvenous leads, independent risk factors were older age (HR, 1.05; P=0.0080), atrial fibrillation or flutter (HR, 6.7; P=0.0214), and ongoing phlebotomy (HR, 14.4; P=0.0349). Having had aspirin or warfarin prescribed was not protective. Epicardial leads were, however, associated with higher atrial (P=0.0407) and ventricular (P=0.0270) thresholds and shorter generator longevity (HR, 1.9; P=0.0176). CONCLUSIONS: Transvenous leads incur a >2-fold increased risk of systemic thromboemboli in patients with intracardiac shunts.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it