Improved multi‐target multi‐Bernoulli filter with modelling of spurious targets
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The cardinality‐balanced multi‐target multi‐Bernoulli (CBMeMBer) filter removes the positive bias from the data‐updated cardinality estimate in the multi‐target multi‐Bernoulli (MeMBer) filter. In this study, the relationship between the MeMBer corrector and the multi‐Bernoulli random finite set (RFS) distribution is analysed. By utilising this relationship, a filter that offers a new statistical framework for the MeMBer data update process is proposed. Thus, the multi‐Bernoulli RFS distribution is extended to model spurious targets arising from targets under the legacy track set with high probabilities of existence. Unlike the CBMeMBer filter, the proposed filter removes the bias observed in the MeMBer filter by distinguishing spurious targets from actual targets, and while doing this, it does not make any limiting assumption on the probability of target detection. In addition, the modelling of spurious targets allows the refinement of the existence probabilities of targets in light of measurements. As a result, the stability of the cardinality estimate is improved while removing the bias. The theoretical analysis performed on the joint detection and state estimation problem of a single target reveals the strengths and limitations of the proposed filter. In addition, numerical simulations are performed in a scenario involving targets with crossing trajectories to demonstrate the filter performance.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".