Distribution approximation and modelling via orthogonal polynomial sequences
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A general methodology is developed for approximating the distribution of a random variable on the basis of its exact moments. More specifically, a probability density function is approximated by the product of a suitable weight function and a linear combination of its associated orthogonal polynomials. A technique for generating a sequence of orthogonal polynomials from a given weight function is provided and the coefficients of the linear combination are explicitly expressed in terms of the moments of the target distribution. On applying this approach to several test statistics, we observed that the resulting percentiles are consistently in excellent agreement with the tabulated values. As well, it is explained that the same moment-matching technique can be utilized to produce density estimates on the basis of the sample moments obtained from a given set of observations. An example involving a well-known data set illustrates the density estimation methodology advocated herein.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it