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Record W2461440816

백화점 출점을 위한 매출액 예측에 관한 연구

2010· article· ko· W2461440816 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
이상엽, 김재환

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageko
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicConsumer Perception and Purchasing Behavior
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCompetition (biology)PopulationPosition (finance)Quarter (Canadian coin)Scale (ratio)Product (mathematics)EconometricsRegression analysisOrder (exchange)BusinessMarketingDistribution (mathematics)StatisticsEconomicsGeographyMathematicsCartographyDemography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As the growth of department stores, which have led the distribution industry, started to decrease recently, large-scale discount stores have emerged as a new format of retail business and taken the central position in the distribution industry. As large-scale discount stores gain more and more momentum in opening, there appears a shift to the competition structure between department stores and large-scale discount stores. Despite the latter`s remarkable growth, however, it should be noted that the two retail formats deal with different items in each product category and attract consumers with different preferences. Thus approaches to opening between them should naturally be different. In addition to the old approach toward opening a distribution facility including location analysis and market potential(MP) analysis, they should consider the unique characteristics of department stores to estimate sales. Thus this study divided the main variables to affect the sales of department stores into population and economic factors, location factors, internal environment factors, and differential factors. Then the investigator selected their input variables. Based on the factors to affect sales and sales data, I devised an estimation model of regression analysis and artificial neural networks. Based on the national statistics and the data of A department stores across the nation from the first quarter of 2002 to the fourth quarter of 2006, I compared the estimated and actual sales of 2007 and reviewed the model`s accuracy. In order to compare and assess total 505 cases by the regions and analysis methods, I divided the model composition into four(the Seoul metropolitan area(including Seoul), the Seoul metropolitan area(excluding Seoul), the rest of the nation, and the entire nation) and made estimations. As a result, the Seoul metropolitan area(including Seoul) model showed the highest estimating power at 96.6%. Using the model with the best estimation of sales, I predicted the sales of a new A department store for 2008. The relative importance of the input variables used in estimating sales turned out to influence the sales of a new department store. Thus it`s suggested that sales should multiply when they compose the store`s MD(merchandise) based on those variables.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.018
Threshold uncertainty score0.042

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0130.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.023
GPT teacher head0.260
Teacher spread0.237 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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