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Record W2586769104 · doi:10.2118/185046-ms

Building Calibrated Hydraulic Fracture Models from Low Quality Micro-Seismic Data and Utilizing it for Optimization: Montney Example

2017· article· en· W2586769104 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueSPE Unconventional Resources Conference · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicHydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersMissouri University of Science and TechnologyUniversity of Missouri
KeywordsHydraulic fracturingPetroleum engineeringOil shaleGeologyFracture (geology)Tight gasShale gasGeotechnical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The Montney Formation stretches from southwestern Alberta to northeast British Columbia in Canada, and is one of the largest and most prolific shale plays in North America. The Montney Formation is also unique because it has conventional, over-pressured gas and an over-pressured liquids rich fairway. However, since the first multiple fractured horizontal well was drilled in 2005, there has been proposals for optimizing completions using different fracturing fluid systems and completion techniques. The low oil and gas price environment and the ensuing cost control mechanisms coupled with better understanding of what works in the Montney Formation, made the utility of some of the previously proposed optimization designs like "fracture effectiveness" which used energized fracturing fluids less desirable completions method. However, completion optimization methods like "operational effectiveness" which used high-rate slick water with increasing proppant mass per stage become the dominant stimulation method in the Montney Formation. But what has been missing was how to integrate fracture design and optimizations using all available information such as step-rate test, mini-frac, DFIT (diagnostic fracture injection test) analysis, well logs, geo-mechanical data, fracability index, core data, micro-seismic mapping data, and post-fracture analysis to improve fracture design and optimize the well completions. The objective of this paper is to present a new methodology for building calibrated fracture models from low quality micro-seismic data that has either location uncertainty or signal-to-noise ratio issues, and use it to optimize well completions. The process involves two-steps; first, the hydraulic fracture design was modeled and then calibrated using only micro-seismic mapping data from fracture stages that were closest to the micro-seismic geophones (avoiding location uncertainty or signal-to-noise ratio issues). This allowed us to construct a robust and reliable fracture geometry model. For each of the wells in the study, all fracture stages were then history matched and remodeled using the calibrated fracture model. Secondly, each well was optimized by incorporating fracture cluster sensitivity (2, 3, 4, and 5 clusters per stage), proppant mass sensitivity (50 kg, 75 kg, 100 kg, and 150 kg per stage) and fracture spacing sensitivity (20 m, 25 m, 33 m, 49 m and 98 m per stage). The result from this study shows that a highly optimized fracture model can be constructed from low quality micro-seismic mapping data that had location uncertainty due to the use of one monitoring well or signal-to-noise ratio issues. Secondly, the result also shows that increasing the number of clusters per stage and proppant mass per stage improves well production and recovery. However, the question is are these improvements short time gains, and what is the balance between well productivity and economics? Thirdly, in this study, we propose using measureable and known metrics to optimize wells such as average "hydraulic" fracture half-length, propped fracture half-length and conductivity for multi-clustered fracture stages. Ideally, well performance should be obtained from lookbacks instead of pounds per lateral length of the horizontal well (i.e. 2,400 lb. /ft.) or fixed volume/proppant for each stage or fixed clusters per stage without any empirical data to support it. While there are no two shale formations that are alike, most of the findings from this study are transferable and applicable to other unconventional resources. For instance, the paper presents; A new method for building calibrated fracture models from low quality micro-seismic mapping data that has location uncertainty or signal-to- noise ratio issues.A new method for optimizing fracture designs using cluster sensitivity analysis with varying proppant mass per fracture stage that can be used for scenarios analysis.A methodology for optimizing fracture design models by adjusting fracture treatment volumes and proppant mass per stage based on well stage location and available net treatment pressure.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.826
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.079
GPT teacher head0.301
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it