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Sensitivity of Entropy Method to Time Series Length in Hydrometric Network Design

2017· article· en· W2589983633 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Hydrologic Engineering · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicWater resources management and optimization
Canadian institutionsMcMaster University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStreamflowEntropy (arrow of time)Joint entropyCorrelationOptimal designComputer scienceInformation theoryNetwork planning and designStatisticsMathematicsPrinciple of maximum entropyMathematical optimizationDrainage basin

Abstract

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The design of optimal hydrometric networks is an important starting point in water resources planning and management. Redundant or inappropriate networks may require unnecessary monitoring costs, while a sparse network may cause a lack of understanding of the process being monitored. Many studies employ information theory, which uses the Shannon entropy, as a measure of the information to design optimal hydrometric networks measuring various hydrologic parameters, such as streamflow and precipitation. The majority of entropy application methods in hydrometric network design have had two common objectives, i.e., maximizing joint entropy and minimizing total correlation. However, it is still unclear what data lengths should be adequate to properly use the entropy approach to network design and how the data lengths affect the entropy values. In this study, four different data lengths (e.g., 5, 10, 15, and 20 years) of daily time series are used to determine the optimal streamflow and precipitation networks using entropy theory coupled with multiobjective optimization. The spatial distributions of the optimal monitoring locations appeared similarly for each data length. Specifically, the hot-spots where the selection likelihood from optimization results is high were not significantly changed; this is more obvious when the data length of daily time series was 10 years or greater. Additionally, the joint entropy and total correlation of the optimal networks were calculated from 10 days to 20 years with a 10-day increment. The joint entropy increased significantly during the first 5 years and then gradually increased without significant change after 10 years. Similarly, the total correlation stabilized after 5 years of daily time series lengths with no major change after 10 years. Therefore, it is recommended to use at least 10 years of data for information theory–based hydrometric network design when using daily time series.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.613
Threshold uncertainty score0.522

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.213
Teacher spread0.201 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it