The “Flight From Marriage” in South-East and East Asia
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Over recent decades, a traditional characteristic of South-East and East Asia - the universality of marriage - has ended. The change has been dramatic and widespread, though variable across regions and socio-economic groups. The proportion of women remaining single in their 30s and 40s has climbed sharply, especially in the large cities and among the better educated. The proportion single among men has also risen, though the patterns have not paralleled those of women. A key consideration is whether the continuing rise in proportions remaining single is largely compositional -i.e. reflecting increasing proportions reaching higher levels of education and residing in urban areas - or whether the rise is continuing when such changes are controlled for. The paper assesses factors that may account for the change in marriage patterns, including reasons why it has proceeded much further in some countries than in others. Finally, some implications of the increase in non-marriage are discussed.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it