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Record W2609202596 · doi:10.4043/27808-ms

Validation of Global Riser/Wellhead Analysis Using Data from a Full-Scale Measurement Campaign

2017· article· en· W2609202596 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueOffshore Technology Conference · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicStructural Integrity and Reliability Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersHibernia Management and Development Company
KeywordsWellheadDrilling riserCasingMarine engineeringSeakeepingFrequency domainTime domainEngineeringOffshore geotechnical engineeringDrillingGeotechnical engineeringPetroleum engineeringComputer scienceMechanical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Fatigue damage predictions of risers and wellhead/casing systems due to drilling operations require predictive modeling techniques for load calculation/estimation. This work attempts to address the uncertainty as to whether the global riser analyses are overly conservative due to model idealizations, analytical assumptions, the use of time- or frequency-domain techniques, and incorporation of certain linear or non-linear behavior. To address these questions, a field measurement program was executed to obtain vessel, riser and stack motions data, which were used to validate analytical models and procedures. A real-time monitoring system was deployed on a 6th generation semi-submersible mobile offshore drilling unit operating in a shallow water, harsh environment region. Accelerations and angular rates were captured on the Lower Marine Riser Package (LMRP), drilling riser and vessel. The metocean data consisting of measured seastates and full-depth current profiles, as well as riser tensions, mud weights, and vessel offsets were also concurrently recorded. The global models of the riser, wellhead, stack, casing and soils were created using two in-house software, DERP (frequency-domain) and RAMS (both frequency- and time-domain), using "as-designed" input information. Analytically predicted motions (displacements and rotations) of the LMRP, riser, and vessel were compared with the measured motions. It was found that the frequency-domain analytical results match the measured data well over all the measured significant wave heights, which ranged from 6.5-ft to 26-ft. Since the riser and LMRP RMS motions are well predicted by models, it follows that wellhead loads are well estimated from analytical models. The frequency-domain analytical results were further verified for a few cases by time-domain analyses. Both measured and analytical spectra generally exhibit peaks at similar frequencies. While the first analytical riser mode is clearly identified in the measured data, the analytical blow out preventer (BOP) stack/riser mode is not as evident in the measured data. Further, the measured peak close to the analytical stack/riser frequency is very broad. These observations and additional sensitivity studies showed that further investigation for sources of damping due to soil and/or stack hydrodynamics is required. This work shows that the modeling techniques used presently for analyzing the global riser/stack response in frequency- domain are reasonably accurate for the analyzed conditions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.726
Threshold uncertainty score0.736

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0020.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.075
GPT teacher head0.298
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it