Gene Expression Programing in Long Term Water Demand Forecasts Using Wavelet Decomposition
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Increasing draught seasons and lack of access to potable water reserves have been the major risks threatening water authorities and governments over the recent years. Therefore, long term water forecasts are receiving much more attention nowadays. Unlike the conventional projection of historical water demand, researchers have tried to implement sophisticated mathematical models to predict demand of water. Gene expression programming (GEP), as a relatively new forecasting technique, remains to be explored in this endeavor. The main purpose of this research was to assess the performance of GEP models using wavelet decomposition with 2 transfer functions (db2 and haar) and 3 levels. Results of this study showed GEP models can be highly sensitive to wavelet decomposition if all combinations of proper lag times are used as inputs feeding these models.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it