Predicting survival time of lung cancer patients using radiomic analysis
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
// Ahmad Chaddad 1, 2 , Christian Desrosiers 2 , Matthew Toews 2 and Bassam Abdulkarim 1 1 Division of Radiation Oncology, McGill University, Montréal, Canada 2 The Laboratory for Imagery, Vision and Artificial Intelligence, Ecole de Technologie Supérieure, Montréal, Canada Correspondence to: Ahmad Chaddad, email: ahmad.chaddad@mail.mcgill.ca Keywords: lung cancer; NSCLC; cancer staging; radiomics; texture features Received: May 30, 2017     Accepted: October 02, 2017     Published: November 01, 2017 ABSTRACT Objectives: This study investigates the prediction of Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patient survival outcomes based on radiomic texture and shape features automatically extracted from tumor image data. Materials and Methods: Retrospective analysis involves CT scans of 315 NSCLC patients from The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA). A total of 24 image features are computed from labeled tumor volumes of patients within groups defined using NSCLC subtype and TNM staging information. Spearman’s rank correlation, Kaplan-Meier estimation and log-rank tests were used to identify features related to long/short NSCLC patient survival groups. Automatic random forest classification was used to predict patient survival group from multivariate feature data. Significance is assessed at P < 0.05 following Holm-Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons. Results: Significant correlations between radiomic features and survival were observed for four clinical groups: (group, [absolute correlation range]): (large cell carcinoma (LCC) [0.35, 0.43]), (tumor size T2, [0.31, 0.39]), (non lymph node metastasis N0, [0.3, 0.33]), (TNM stage I, [0.39, 0.48]). Significant log-rank relationships between features and survival time were observed for three clinical groups: (group, hazard ratio): (LCC, 3.0), (LCC, 3.9), (T2, 2.5) and (stage I, 2.9). Automatic survival prediction performance (i.e. below/above median) is superior for combined radiomic features with age-TNM in comparison to standard TNM clinical staging information (clinical group, mean area-under-the-ROC-curve (AUC)): (LCC, 75.73%), (N0, 70.33%), (T2, 70.28%) and (TNM-I, 76.17%). Conclusion : Quantitative lung CT imaging features can be used as indicators of survival, in particular for patients with large-cell-carcinoma (LCC), primary-tumor-sizes (T2) and no lymph-node-metastasis (N0).
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it