Deep Learning Based Forecasting of Critical Infrastructure Data
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Intelligent monitoring and control of critical infrastructure such as electric power grids, public water utilities and transportation systems produces massive volumes of time series data from heterogeneous sensor networks. Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is essential for system safety and security, and also for improving the efficiency and quality of service delivery. Being highly dependent on various external factors, the observed system behavior is usually stochastic, which makes the next value prediction a tricky and challenging task that usually needs customized methods. In this paper we propose a novel deep learning based framework for time series analysis and prediction by ensembling parametric and nonparametric methods. Our approach takes advantage of extracting features at different time scales, which improves accuracy without compromising reliability in comparison with the state-of-the-art methods. Our experimental evaluation using real-world SCADA data from a municipal water management system shows that our proposed method outperforms the baseline methods evaluated here.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it