A Distributionally Robust Chance-Constrained MILP Model for Multistage Distribution System Planning With Uncertain Renewables and Loads
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Successful transition to active distribution networks (ADNs) requires a planning methodology that includes an accurate network model and accounts for the major sources of uncertainty. Considering these two essential features, this paper proposes a novel model for the multistage distribution expansion planning (MDEP) problem, which is able to jointly expand both the network assets (feeders and substations) and renewable/conventional distributed generators. With respect to network characteristics, the proposed planning model employs a convex conic quadratic format of ac power flow equations that is linearized using a highly accurate polyhedral-based linearization method. Furthermore, a chance-constrained programming approach is utilized to deal with the uncertain renewables and loads. In this regard, as the probability distribution functions of uncertain parameters are not perfectly known, a distributionally robust (DR) reformulation is proposed for the chance constraints that guarantees the robustness of the expansion plans against all uncertainty distributions defined within a moment-based ambiguity set. Effective linearization techniques are also devised to eliminate the nonlinearities of the proposed DR reformulation, which yields a distributionally robust chance-constrained mixed-integer linear programming model for the MDEP problem of ADNs. Finally, the 24-node and 138-node test systems are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed planning methodology.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it