Power production prediction of wind turbines using a fusion of MLP and ANFIS networks
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Access to accurate power production prediction of a wind turbine in future hours enables operators to detect possible underperformance and anomalies in advance. This may enable more proactive and strategic operations optimisation. This study examines common Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition (SCADA) data over a period of 20 months for 21 pitch regulated 2.3 MW turbines. In this study, an algorithm is proposed to impute values of data that are missing, out‐of‐range, or outliers. It is shown that an appropriate combination of a decision tree and mean value for imputation can improve the data analysis and prediction performance by the creation of a smoother dataset. In addition, principal component analysis is employed to extract parameters with power production influence based on all available signals in the SCADA data. Then, a new data fusion technique is applied, combining dynamic multilayer perceptron (MLP) and adaptive neuro‐fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) networks to predict future performance of wind turbines. This prediction is made on a scale of one‐hour intervals. This novel combination of feature extraction, imputation, and MLP/ANFIS fusion performs well with favourably low prediction error levels. Thus, such an approach may be a valuable tool for turbine power production prediction.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it