Association of Surgical Intervention for Adhesive Small-Bowel Obstruction With the Risk of Recurrence
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Adhesive small-bowel obstruction (aSBO) is a potentially chronic, recurring surgical illness. Although guidelines suggest trials of nonoperative management, the long-term association of this approach with recurrence is poorly understood. Objective: To compare the incidence of recurrence of aSBO in patients undergoing operative management at their first admission compared with nonoperative management. Design, Setting, and Participants: This longitudinal, propensity-matched, retrospective cohort study used health administrative data for the province of Ontario, Canada, for patients treated from April 1, 2005, through March 31, 2014. The study population included adults aged 18 to 80 years who were admitted for their first episode of aSBO. Patients with nonadhesive causes of SBO were excluded. A total of 27 904 patients were included and matched 1:1 by their propensity to undergo surgery. Factors used to calculate propensity included patient age, sex, comorbidity burden, socioeconomic status, and rurality of home residence. Data were analyzed from September 10, 2017, through October 4, 2018. Exposures: Operative vs nonoperative management for aSBO. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the rate of recurrence of aSBO among those with operative vs nonoperative management. Time-to-event analyses were used to estimate hazard ratios of recurrence while accounting for the competing risk of death. Results: Of 27 904 patients admitted with their first episode of aSBO, 6186 (22.2%) underwent operative management. Mean (SD) patient age was 61.2 (13.6) years, and 51.1% (14 228 of 27 904) were female. Patients undergoing operative management were younger (mean [SD] age, 60.2 [14.3] vs 61.5 [13.4] years) with fewer comorbidities (low burden, 382 [6.2%] vs 912 [4.2%]). After matching, those with operative management had a lower risk of recurrence (13.0% vs 21.3%; hazard ratio, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.56-0.68; P < .001). The 5-year probability of experiencing another recurrence increased with each episode until surgical intervention, at which point the risk of subsequent recurrence decreased by approximately 50%. Conclusions and Relevance: According to this study, operative management of the first episode of aSBO is associated with significantly reduced risk of recurrence. Guidelines advocating trials of nonoperative management for aSBO may assume that surgery increases the risk of recurrence putatively through the formation of additional adhesions. The long-term risk of recurrence of aSBO should be considered in the management of this patient population.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it