Measuring multimorbidity in older adults: comparing different data sources
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity is a global health issue, particularly for older adults in the primary care setting. An adequate portrayal of its epidemiology is essential to properly identify and understand the health care needs of this population. This study aimed to compare the differences in the prevalence of selected chronic conditions and multimorbidity, including its associated characteristics, using health survey/self-reported (SR) information only, administrative (Adm) data only and the combined (either) sources. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of survey data from the first cycle of the Longitudinal Survey on Senior's Health and Health Services Use linked to health-Adm data. The analytical sample consisted of 1625 community-dwelling older adults (≥65 years) recruited in the waiting rooms of primary health clinics in a selected administrative region of the province of Quebec. Seventeen chronic conditions were assessed according to two different data sources. We examined the differences in the observed prevalence of chronic conditions and multimorbidity and the agreement between data sources. RESULTS: The prevalence of each of the 17 chronic conditions ranged from 1.2 to 68.7% depending on the data source. The agreement between different data sources was highly variable, with kappa coefficients (κ) ranging from 0.05 to 0.73. Multimorbidity was very high in this population, with an estimated prevalence of up to 95.9%. In addition, we found that the association between sociodemographic and behavioural factors and the presence of multimorbidity varied according to the different data sources and thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to simultaneously investigate chronic conditions and multimorbidity prevalence among primary care older adults using combined SR and health-Adm data. Our results call attention to (1) the possibility of underestimating cases when using a single data source and (2) the potential benefits of integrating information from different data sources to increase case identification. This is an important aspect of characterizing the health care needs of this fast-growing population.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.053 | 0.111 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.008 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".