Evaluation of Automatic Incident Detection Systems Using the Automatic Incident Detection Comparison and Analysis Tool
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This thesis presents a new testbed for Automatic Incident Detection (AID) systems that uses real-time traffic video and data feeds from the Ministry of Transportation, Ontario (MTO) COMPASS Advanced Traffic Management System (ATMS). This new testbed, termed the AID Comparison and Analysis Tool (AID CAAT), consists largely of a data warehouse storing a significant amount of traffic video, the corresponding traffic data and an accurate log of incident start/end times. An evaluation was conducted whereby the AID CAAT was used to calibrate, and then analyze the performance of four AID systems: California Algorithm 8, McMaster Algorithm, the Genetic Adaptive Incident Detection (GAID) Algorithm and the Citilog - VisioPAD. The traditional measures of effectiveness (MOE) were initially used for this evaluation: detection rate (DR), false alarm rate (FAR), and mean time to detection (MTTD). However, an in-depth analysis of the test results (facilitated by the AID CAAT) revealed the need for two additional MOEs: False Normal Rate and Nuisance Rate. The justification and sample calculations for these new MOEs are also provided. This evaluation shows the considerable advantages of the AID CAAT, and also suggests the strengths and weaknesses of the AID systems tested.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".