Multiuser Multivariate Multiorder Markov-Based Multimodal User Mobility Pattern Prediction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Excavating human's temporal and spatial regularities hidden in trajectory data and predicting users' mobility patterns are conducive to providing proactive smart services for people. Combining Markov transition and tensor theories to improve the prediction performance has proved to be effective. However, the existing state-of-the-art multivariate multiorder Markov model neglects the mutual influence among different users. In a practical trajectory system, people's mobility patterns are influenced by their social relationships. Therefore, this article focuses on proposing a novel multiuser multivariate multiorder Markov model and a multimodal user mobility pattern prediction approach. First, we construct two concrete Markov trajectory transition models based on the single-user multivariate multiorder Markov model. Then, we propose a multiuser multivariate multiorder Markov model, including the influence model of multiple users and the multiuser Markov trajectory transition model. Afterward, two unified product-based power methods are developed to calculate the stationary joint eigentensor (SJE) for single-user and multiuser multivariate multiorder Markov models. Furthermore, an SJE-based multimodal prediction approach is proposed to realize precise mobility pattern prediction. Finally, we conduct a series of experiments based on real-world GPS trajectory data set to verify the performance of the proposed approaches. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed multiuser multivariate multiorder Markov-based multimodal prediction approach can improve the trajectory prediction accuracy by highest up to 31.10% points compared with the Z-eigen-based approach.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".