Association of Monogenic vs Polygenic Hypercholesterolemia With Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Monogenic familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is associated with lifelong elevations in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, many individuals with hypercholesterolemia have a polygenic rather than a monogenic cause for their condition. It is unclear if a genetic variant for hypercholesterolemia alters the risk of CVD. Objectives: To assess whether a genetic variant for hypercholesterolemia alters the risk of atherosclerotic CVD and to evaluate how this risk compares with that of nongenetic hypercholesterolemia. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this genetic-association, case-control, cohort study, individuals aged 40 to 69 years were recruited by the UK Biobank from across the United Kingdom between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010, and followed up until March 31, 2017. Genotyping array and exome sequencing data from the UK Biobank cohort were used to identify individuals with monogenic (LDLR, APOB, and PCSK9) or polygenic hypercholesterolemia (LDL-C polygenic score >95th percentile based on 223 single-nucleotide variants in the entire cohort). The data were analyzed from July 1, 2019, to December 30, 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: The study investigated the association of genotype with the risk of coronary and carotid revascularization, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and all-cause mortality among the overall study population and among participants with monogenic FH (n = 277), polygenic hypercholesterolemia (n = 2379), or hypercholesterolemia with undetermined cause (n = 2232) at comparable levels of LDL-C measured at study enrollment. Results: For the 48 741 individuals with genotyping array and exome sequencing data, the mean (SD) age was 56.6 (8.0) years, and 54.5% were female (n = 26 541 of 48 741). A monogenic FH variant for hypercholesterolemia was found in 277 individuals (0.57%, 1 in 176 individuals). Participants with monogenic FH were significantly more likely than those without monogenic FH to experience an atherosclerotic CVD event at 55 years or younger (17 of 277 [6.1%] vs 988 of 48 464 [2.0%]; P < .001). Compared with the general population, both monogenic and polygenic hypercholesterolemia were associated with an increased risk of CVD events. Moreover, among individuals with comparable levels of LDL-C, both monogenic (hazard ratio, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.34-2.77; P < .001) and polygenic hypercholesterolemia (hazard ratio, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.03-1.55; P = .03) were significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD events compared with the risk of such events in individuals with hypercholesterolemia without an identified genetic cause. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that among individuals with hypercholesterolemia, genetic determinants of LDL-C levels may impose additional risk of CVD. Thus, understanding the possible genetic cause of hypercholesterolemia may provide important prognostic information to treat patients.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it