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Fuzzy Monte Carlo Agent-Based Simulation of Construction Crew Performance

2020· article· en· W3009442424 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Construction Engineering and Management · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicBIM and Construction Integration
Canadian institutionsNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMonte Carlo methodCrewFuzzy logicComputer scienceScope (computer science)Industrial engineeringArtificial intelligenceEngineeringMathematicsStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The use of agent-based modeling (ABM) in the analysis of construction processes and practices has increased significantly over the last decade. However, the developed models are not able to address both random and subjective uncertainties that exist in many construction processes and practices. Monte Carlo simulation is able to account for random uncertainty, and fuzzy logic is able to account for the subjective uncertainty that exists in model variables and relationships. In this paper, a methodology for the development of fuzzy Monte Carlo agent-based models in construction is provided, and its application is illustrated through the development of a model of construction crew performance. This paper makes three contributions: first, it expands ABM’s scope of applicability by showing how to model both random and subjective uncertainty in ABM; second, it provides a novel methodology for integrating fuzzy logic and Monte Carlo simulation in ABM, which allows for the development of fuzzy Monte Carlo agent-based models in construction; and third, it illustrates a fuzzy Monte Carlo agent-based simulation of construction crew performance, which improves the assessment of crew performance by considering both random and subjective uncertainties in model variables.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.276
Threshold uncertainty score0.558

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.183
Teacher spread0.175 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it