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Identifying Seasonality in Time Series by Applying Fast Fourier Transform

2019· article· en· W3019713582 on OpenAlexaff
Hmeda Musbah, Mo. El-Hawary, Hamed H. Aly

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicTime Series Analysis and Forecasting
Canadian institutionsDalhousie University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFast Fourier transformAutocorrelationSeasonalitySeries (stratigraphy)Computer scienceTime seriesFourier seriesPartial autocorrelation functionStatisticsMathematicsAlgorithmAutoregressive integrated moving averageMathematical analysis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The importance of studying time series is that most forecasting models assume that the time series must be stationary. In addition, non-stationary time series can cause unexpected behaviors or create a non-existing relationship between two variables. The aim of this study is to shine new light on the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) technique through an examination of its efficiency in identifying the trend and seasonality by applying it to many time series. A comparison between the FFT technique and Autocorrelation Function (ACF) has been conducted as well. The results show that the FFT technique has acceptable performance in identifying the trend and seasonality. The most obvious observation is that, unlike the FFT technique, the ACF has limitations in determining the exact time of the seasonality that repeats itself.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.008

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.219
Teacher spread0.209 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations28
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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