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Record W3040857534 · doi:10.1145/3385187

Predicting Node Failures in an Ultra-Large-Scale Cloud Computing Platform

2020· article· en· W3040857534 on OpenAlexaff
Yangguang Li, Zhen Ming Jiang, Heng Li, Ahmed E. Hassan, Cheng He, Ruirui Huang, Zhengda Zeng, Mian Wang, Pinan Chen

Bibliographic record

VenueACM Transactions on Software Engineering and Methodology · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicSoftware System Performance and Reliability
Canadian institutionsQueen's UniversityYork University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCloud computingDevOpsComputer scienceScalabilityContext (archaeology)Node (physics)Scale (ratio)Data scienceSoftwareDistributed computingComputer securitySoftware engineeringDatabaseOperating systemEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Many software services today are hosted on cloud computing platforms, such as Amazon EC2, due to many benefits like reduced operational costs. However, node failures in these platforms can impact the availability of their hosted services and potentially lead to large financial losses. Predicting node failures before they actually occur is crucial, as it enables DevOps engineers to minimize their impact by performing preventative actions. However, such predictions are hard due to many challenges like the enormous size of the monitoring data and the complexity of the failure symptoms. AIOps ( A rtificial I ntelligence for IT Op eration s ), a recently introduced approach in DevOps, leverages data analytics and machine learning to improve the quality of computing platforms in a cost-effective manner. However, the successful adoption of such AIOps solutions requires much more than a top-performing machine learning model. Instead, AIOps solutions must be trustable, interpretable, maintainable, scalable, and evaluated in context. To cope with these challenges, in this article we report our process of building an AIOps solution for predicting node failures for an ultra-large-scale cloud computing platform at Alibaba. We expect our experiences to be of value to researchers and practitioners, who are interested in building and maintaining AIOps solutions for large-scale cloud computing platforms.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.021
Threshold uncertainty score0.042

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.296
Teacher spread0.237 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations78
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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