On shrinkage and selection: ANOVA model
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper considers the estimation of the parameters of an ANOVA model when sparsity is suspected. Accordingly, we consider the least square estimator (LSE), restricted LSE, preliminary test and Stein-type estimators, together with three penalty estimators, namely, the ridge estimator, subset selection rules (hard threshold estimator) and the LASSO (soft threshold estimator). We compare and contrast the L2-risk of all the estimators with the lower bound of L2-risk of LASSO in a family of diagonal projection scheme which is also the lower bound of the exact L2-risk of LASSO. The result of this comparison is that neither LASSO nor the LSE, preliminary test, and Stein-type estimators outperform each other uniformly. However, when the model is sparse, LASSO outperforms all estimators except “ridge” estimator since both LASSO and ridge are L2-risk equivalent under sparsity. We also find that LASSO and the restricted LSE are L2-risk equivalent and both outperform all estimators (except ridge) depending on the dimension of sparsity. Finally, ridge estimator outperforms all estimators uniformly. Our finding are based on L2-risk of estimators and lower bound of the risk of LASSO together with tables of efficiency and graphical display of efficiency and not based on simulation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.044 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".