A Clustering-Driven Approach to Predict the Traffic Load of Mobile Networks for the Analysis of Base Stations Deployment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Mobile network traffic is increasing in an unprecedented manner, resulting in growing demand from network operators to deploy more base stations able to serve more devices while maintaining a satisfactory level of service quality. Base stations are considered the leading energy consumer in network infrastructure; consequently, increasing the number of base stations will increase power consumption. By predicting the traffic load on base stations, network optimization techniques can be applied to decrease energy consumption. This research explores different machine learning and statistical methods capable of predicting traffic load on base stations. These methods are examined on a public dataset that provides records of traffic loads of several base stations over the span of one week. Because of the limited number of records in the dataset for each base station, different base stations are grouped while building the prediction model. Due to the different behavior of the base stations, forecasting the traffic load of multiple base stations together becomes challenging. The proposed solution involves clustering the base stations according to their behavior and forecasting the load on the base stations in each cluster individually. Clustering the time series data according to their behavior mitigates the dissimilar behavior problem of the time series when they are trained together. Our findings demonstrate that predictions based on deep recurrent neural networks perform better than other forecasting techniques.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".