Allostatic load scoring using item response theory
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Allostatic load is commonly operationalized using a sum-score of high-risk biomarkers. However, this method implies that biomarkers contribute equally to allostatic load, as each is given equal weight. Our goal in this methodological paper is to evaluate this, and complementarily, to identify biomarkers that are most informative and least informative for developing an allostatic load index. Item response theory models provide an alternate approach to calculating the allostatic load score, by treating individual biomarkers (e.g. “items”) as indicators of a latent allostatic load construct. Item response theory scores account for the data-driven discriminating power of each biomarker, and an individual’s pattern of biomarker responses. To demonstrate feasibility of this approach, we used data from the 2015–2016 National Health Examination and Nutrition Survey (NHANES; N = 3751), with twelve allostatic load biomarkers representing immune response, metabolic function and cardiovascular health. Item response theory models revealed that body-mass-index and C-reactive protein were the most informative biomarkers for allostatic load. Both higher allostatic load sum-score and allostatic load item response theory score were associated with lower socio-economic status (p = 0.008; p<0.001, respectively). Further, both formulations of allostatic load were positively associated with a nine-item depression screener (p<0.001 for both), but only the item response theory score was also positively associated with the impact of depressive symptoms on daily life (p = 0.045). Item response theory scores may be more finely tuned to tease out effects, compared to sum-scores, and also provide more flexibility when there are missing biomarker measurements. Supplemental R code for our approach are included.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it