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Record W3123256249

What makes a revolution

2001· preprint· en· W3123256249 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Robert MacCulloch

Bibliographic record

VenueEconstor (Econstor) · 2001
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic theories and models
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInequalityEconomic inequalityEconomicsQuarter (Canadian coin)Property rightsPanel dataCornerstoneDemographic economicsEconometricsMicroeconomicsGeographyMathematics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A fundamental requirement of market economies is the security of ownership \nclaims to property. Yet history is littered with cases of challenges to these \nclaims. A large literature has found contradictory evidence for the effect of \nincome and income inequality on revolt, possibly due to omitted variable bias. \nThe primary innovation of the paper is to tackle this problem in two ways. \nFirst, it introduces a new panel data set derived from surveys of revolutionary \nsupport across one-quarter of a million randomly sampled individuals. This \nallows one to control for unobserved fixed effects. Second, the estimated \nregressions are based on a choice-theoretic model of revolt that also helps us \nto choose an instrument set. After controlling for personal characteristics, \ncountry and year fixed effects, more people are found to favor revolt when \ninequality is high and their net incomes are low. An increase in inequality \nequivalent to a shift from Belgium to the US is predicted to increase support \nfor revolt by 6.3 percentage points. An increase in net income of $US 3330 (in \n1985 constant dollars) decreases revolutionary support by the same amount. \nThe results indicate that ‘going for growth’ can buy a nation out of revolt.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.058
Threshold uncertainty score0.196

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0070.009
Scholarly communication0.0100.009
Open science0.0010.005
Research integrity0.0030.005
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0580.019

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.031
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.195 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations31
Published2001
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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