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Record W3127967937 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2102.06039

An Ensemble Deep Convolutional Neural Network Model for Electricity Theft Detection in Smart Grids

2021· preprint· en· W3127967937 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicElectricity Theft Detection Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Guelph
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceSmart gridConvolutional neural networkArtificial intelligenceElectricityEnsemble forecastingData miningDeep learningEnsemble learningRandom forestPrecision and recallMachine learningEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Smart grids extremely rely on Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and smart meters to control and manage numerous parameters of the network. However, using these infrastructures make smart grids more vulnerable to cyber threats especially electricity theft. Electricity Theft Detection (EDT) algorithms are typically used for such purpose since this Non-Technical Loss (NTL) may lead to significant challenges in the power system. In this paper, an Ensemble Deep Convolutional Neural Network (EDCNN) algorithm for ETD in smart grids has been proposed. As the first layer of the model, a random under bagging technique is applied to deal with the imbalance data, and then Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNN) are utilized on each subset. Finally, a voting system is embedded, in the last part. The evaluation results based on the Area Under Curve (AUC), precision, recall, f1-score, and accuracy verify the efficiency of the proposed method compared to the existing method in the literature.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.544
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.035
GPT teacher head0.180
Teacher spread0.146 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it