Robust portfolio rebalancing with cardinality and diversification constraints
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we develop a robust conditional value at risk (CVaR) optimal portfolio rebalancing model under various financial constraints to construct sparse and diversified rebalancing portfolios. Our model includes transaction costs and double cardinality constraints in order to capture the trade-off between the limit of investment scale and the diversified industry coverage requirement. We first derive a closed-form solution for the robust CVaR portfolio rebalancing model with only transaction costs. This allows us to conduct an industry risk analysis for sparse portfolio rebalancing in the absence of diversification constraints. Then, we attempt to remedy the hidden industry risk by establishing a new robust portfolio rebalancing model with both sparse and diversified constraints. This is followed by the development of a distributed-version of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) algorithm, where each subproblem admits a closed-form solution. Finally, we conduct empirical tests to compare our proposed strategy with the standard sparse rebalancing and no-rebalancing strategies. The computational results demonstrate that our rebalancing approach produces sparse and diversified portfolios with better industry coverage. Additionally, to measure out-of-sample performance, two superiority indices are created based on worst-case CVaR and annualized return, respectively. Our ADMM strategy outperforms the sparse rebalancing and no-rebalancing strategies in terms of these indices.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it