Combining immunomodulators and antivirals for COVID-19
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We read with interest the Comment by Jesus Bermejo-Martin and colleagues1Bermejo-Martin JF Almansa R Tedim AP et al.Mounting evidence of impaired viral control in severe COVID-19.Lancet Microbe. 2021; (published online April 15.)https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00084-7Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (7) Google Scholar on impaired viral control in severe COVID-19. They highlight the importance of ongoing research on plasma viral load monitoring and antiviral therapies, and we agree with these points. However, three concepts in their Comment regarding host inflammatory responses and immunomodulatory therapy require clarification or rebuttal. First, the simple biphasic model of viral invasion followed by uncontrolled inflammation, which Bermejo-Martin and colleagues oppose, is already obsolete. SARS-CoV-2 elicits highly heterogeneous host responses ranging from mild illness in most people, to severe disease and critical illness in 2–10% of those infected.2Chen LY Biggs CM Jamal S et al.Soluble interleukin-6 receptor in COVID cytokine storm syndrome.Cell Rep Med. 2021; (published online April 19.)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xcrm.2021.100269Summary Full Text Full Text PDF Scopus (35) Google Scholar Much of this heterogaeneity is due to differences in immune responses to the virus. Severe disease is characterised by a defective type I or III interferon response followed by persistent, maladaptive hypercytokinemia, termed COVID-19 cytokine storm syndrome.3Galani I-E Rovina N Lampropoulou V et al.Untuned antiviral immunity in COVID-19 revealed by temporal type I/III interferon patterns and flu comparison.Nature Immunol. 2021; 22: 32-40Crossref PubMed Scopus (290) Google Scholar, 4Chen LYC Quach TTT COVID-19 cytokine storm syndrome: a threshold concept.Lancet Microbe. 2021; 2: e49-e50Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (50) Google Scholar The cytokine system most implicated in prognosis and treatment is the interleukin (IL)-6-soluble IL-6 receptor axis.2Chen LY Biggs CM Jamal S et al.Soluble interleukin-6 receptor in COVID cytokine storm syndrome.Cell Rep Med. 2021; (published online April 19.)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xcrm.2021.100269Summary Full Text Full Text PDF Scopus (35) Google Scholar Second, the authors rightly caution against overly reductive models of COVID-19; unfortunately, this advice is immediately followed by the rather reductive statement that COVID-19 is “a viral disease, not an autoimmune one”.1Bermejo-Martin JF Almansa R Tedim AP et al.Mounting evidence of impaired viral control in severe COVID-19.Lancet Microbe. 2021; (published online April 15.)https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00084-7Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (7) Google Scholar 10% of patients with severe disease have autoantibodies against type I interferons;5Bastard P Rosen LB Zhang Q et al.Autoantibodies against type I IFNs in patients with life-threatening COVID-19.Science. 2020; 370eabd4585Crossref PubMed Scopus (1565) Google Scholar even so, no clinicians seriously consider COVID-19 an autoimmune disease in the same vein as, say, rheumatoid arthritis. A more useful parallel is viral haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, which is characterised by an excessive, deleterious host immune response to various viral infections. Epstein-Barr virus haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis has a much worse prognosis than cytomegalovirus haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis. One factor that explains this difference is the existence of effective antiviral therapies against cytomegalovirus, which are used in addition to immunosuppressive therapy, whereas there are no such antiviral therapies for Epstein-Barr virus haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis. A combined immunomodulatory and antiviral approach would likewise be ideal in COVID-19. Finally, investigating the pathological immune activation of COVID-19 does not detract from antiviral research. The main domains of trials have included antivirals (eg, lopinavir or remdesivir), immunomodulation (eg, corticosteroids or tocilizumab), and immunoglobulins (eg, convalescent plasma). Only the immunomodulation domain has currently improved mortality (appendix). We have noted that pathological immune activation can be a troublesome, transformative, threshold concept.4Chen LYC Quach TTT COVID-19 cytokine storm syndrome: a threshold concept.Lancet Microbe. 2021; 2: e49-e50Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (50) Google Scholar This threshold concept has practical, real world benefits. Any debate pitting immunomodulation against antiviral therapy is counterproductive. Corticosteroids and IL-6 inhibitors save lives; finding effective antivirals to complement them would be a welcome development. We declare no competing interests. Download .pdf (.16 MB) Help with pdf files Supplementary appendix Mounting evidence of impaired viral control in severe COVID-19Substantial gaps in knowledge regarding the evolution and pathogenesis of COVID-19 remain after 1 year of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. At the start of the pandemic, a biphasic model to explain the physiopathology of COVID-19 became popular. This model divided the disease course into an initial viral response phase, followed by the inflammatory response phase.1,2 In the inflammatory response phase, the virus is thought to have a minor role, and host inflammatory responses are the predominant mediators of pathophysiology, by triggering tissue damage leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome. Full-Text PDF Open AccessCombining immunomodulators and antivirals for COVID-19 – Authors' replyWe thank Luke Chen and Tien Quach for their interest on our Comment. We could not agree more with the title of their reply letter, combining immunomodulators and antivirals for COVID-19, which is consistent with the conclusion of our Comment: “the available evidence would support combined strategies to simultaneously control viral replication and deleterious inflammation, based on specific indicators or biomarkers of both pathophysiological processes”.1 Our conclusion already proposed using biological indicators to guide anti-inflammatory and antiviral therapies in COVID-19, which converges with the so-called threshold concept of pathological immune activation raised by Chen and Quach. Full-Text PDF Open Access
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.022 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it