Impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on electricity demand and the unit commitment problem: a long–short-term memory-based machine learning approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected many behaviours and aspects of society. Electricity consumption has been considerably affected by the pandemic, with significant effects on the electricity load demand profile. In this article, the impact of COVID-19 on electricity demand in the state of Florida is investigated through a novel machine learning technique. The LSTM technique shows good accuracy in forecasting the load profiles for all days studied (weekdays and weekends) and also before and during the pandemic. The UC problem is solved considering the load profiles, and the impact of COVID-19 on power plant scheduling is evaluated. The simulation results show an increase in residential demand for electricity at weekends, while both residential and commercial demand are reduced during weekdays. Therefore, the operating cost of a weekday in 2020 was lower than that in 2019, while the operating cost of a weekend was higher in 2020 than in 2019.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".