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Record W3200911246 · doi:10.1016/j.crm.2021.100364

Predicting suitable habitats of ginkgo biloba L. fruit forests in China

2021· article· en· W3200911246 on OpenAlexaff
Lei Feng, Jiejie Sun, Tongli Wang, Xiangni Tian, Weifeng Wang, Jiahuan Guo, Huili Feng, Huanhuan Guo, Huihong Deng, Guibin Wang

Bibliographic record

VenueClimate Risk Management · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSpecies Distribution and Climate Change
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClimate changeTopsoilEnvironmental scienceHabitatRepresentative Concentration PathwaysPrecipitationSubsoilClimate change scenarioEnvironmental niche modellingGlobal warmingGinkgo bilobaEcologyAgroforestryClimate modelGeographyEcological nicheBiologySoil waterSoil scienceBotany

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Ginkgo fruit can be used for food and medicine with high economic values. It is of great importance to ensure its sustainable production and genetic resource protection under climate change. In this study, niche models built with climate and soil variables, respectively, were used to assess the impact of climate change on its potential suitable habitat. The model performance was excellent for the climate model (AUC = 0.92) and good for the soil model (AUC = 0.84). Three climate variables (degree-days below zero, mean coldest month temperature, and mean annual precipitation) and two soil variables (subsoil cation exchange capacity and topsoil cation exchange capacity) were the main factors determining the distribution of ginkgo fruit forests. The level of predicted habitat suitability was consistent with the differences observed in fruit traits, suggesting that our model predictions make biological and economic sense. The high- and medium-suitable habitats of this species would decrease in future climates under both the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. This study contributed to a better understanding of the impact of climate change on ginkgo fruit forests and provided potential geographical areas for the cultivation and conservation of this species.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.041
Threshold uncertainty score0.082

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations13
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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