Analysis of Ordinal Populations from Judgment Post-Stratification
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In surveys requiring cost efficiency, such as medical research, measuring the variable of interest (e.g., disease status) is expensive and/or time-consuming; however, we often have access to easily obtainable characteristics about sampling units. These characteristics are not typically employed in the data collection process. Judgment post-stratification (JPS) sampling enables us to supplement the random samples from the population of interest with these characteristics as ranking information. This paper develops methods based on the JPS samples for estimating categorical ordinal populations. We develop various estimators from the JPS data even for situations where the JPS suffers from empty strata. We also propose the JPS estimators using multiple ranking resources. Through extensive numerical studies, we evaluate the performance of the methods in estimating the population. Finally, the developed estimation methods are applied to bone mineral data to estimate the bone disorder status of women aged 50 and older.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it