Functional Central Limit Theorems for Stick-Breaking Priors
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We obtain the strong law of large numbers, Glivenko-Cantelli theorem, central limit theorem, functional central limit theorem for various Bayesian nonparametric priors which include the stick-breaking process with general stick-breaking weights, the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet process, the normalized inverse Gaussian process, the normalized generalized gamma process, and the generalized Dirichlet process. For the stick-breaking process with general stick-breaking weights, we introduce two general conditions such that the central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem hold. Except in the case of the generalized Dirichlet process, since the finite dimensional distributions of these processes are either hard to obtain or are complicated to use even they are available, we use the method of moments to obtain the convergence results. For the generalized Dirichlet process we use its marginal distributions to obtain the asymptotics although the computations are highly technical.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it