Teaching Case – Predicting the Probability of Company Bankruptcy with CAATs
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
<p>The paper provides a machine-learning experimental process for a real-world corporate financial bankruptcy case: Chunghwa Picture Tubes, Ltd., in Taiwan in 2019. The teaching case addresses major topics in financial bankruptcy analytics to enable business students to learn how to analyze leveraged finance and distressed debt and to predict bankruptcy. It is a science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) teaching case with a project-based learning method. The learning goal of the teaching case is to inspire and encourage students through planned teaching activities. Students start by thinking through problems or situations and establishing a machine-learning project using computer-assisted audit technique (CAAT) software. After students conduct a self-directed project, the student can use the new knowledge to develop a new bankruptcy-case analysis.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it