Decision Support for Infection Outbreak Analysis: the case of the Diamond Princess cruise ship
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper focuses on designing a CI decision support to address rare events such as disease outbreaks in a ‘closed’ environment such as a cruise ship. We focus on a case study of the COVID-19 outbreak that happened on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship in 2020. It considers a graphical probabilistic model such as Bayesian Network. We consider this causal model to be a core of an intelligent decision support tool to help in emergency management. To prove this hypothesis, the prototype of a decision support tool was implemented and used to evaluate different scenarios. The results show that such system equipped with a reasoning engine is capable of evaluating the pandemic scenario risks, thus helping assess the impacts of certain preventive measures, and damages.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it