Oil prices and Mexico’s exchange rates in North America
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Evidence indicates that since the early 2000s, the central bank in Mexico has been able to implement a solid and credible monetary policy, which has resulted in maintaining the purchasing power of the Mexican peso. Motivated by such evidence and the fact that Mexico (like Canada and the US) is a major oil‐producing country, we set out to examine the dynamic relationship among oil prices and Mexico‐Canada and Mexico‐US exchange rates for 2000–2020. Our findings indicate that (i) these series are co‐integrated and possess a long‐run equilibrium relationship, (ii) oil prices asymmetrically respond to eliminate disequilibrium and (iii) both Mexico‐Canada and Mexico‐US exchange rates are weakly exogenous. Such findings point to the success of the central bank in largely shielding Mexico’s exchange rates from oil price fluctuations in the NAFTA region.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it