Empirical Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Multiclass Prediction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
With the emergence of big data and the interest in deriving valuable insights from ever‐growing and ever‐changing streams of data, machine learning has appeared as an effective data analytic technique as compared to traditional methodologies. Big data has become a source of incredible business value for almost every industry. In this context, machine learning plays an indispensable role of providing smart data analysis capabilities for uncovering hidden patterns. These patterns are later translated into automating certain aspects of the decision‐making processes using machine learning classifiers. This paper presents a state‐of‐the‐art comparative analysis of machine learning and deep learning‐based classifiers for multiclass prediction. The experimental setup consisted of 11 datasets derived from different domains, publicly available at the repositories of UCI and Kaggle. The classifiers include Naïve Bayes (NB), decision trees (DTs), random forest (RF), gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs), and deep learning‐based convolutional neural networks (CNN). The results prove that the ensemble‐based GBDTs outperform other algorithms in terms of accuracy, precision, and recall. RF and CNN show nearly similar performance on most datasets and outperform the traditional NB and DTs. On the other hand, NB shows the lowest performance as compared to other algorithms. It is worth mentioning that DTs show the lowest precision score on the Titanic dataset. One of the main reasons is that DTs suffer from overfitting and use a greedy approach for attribute relationship analysis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.030 | 0.100 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".