Symbolic State Estimation with Predicates for Contact-Rich Manipulation Tasks
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Manipulation tasks often require a robot to adjust its sensorimotor skills based on the state it finds itself in. Taking peg-in-hole as an example: once the peg is aligned with the hole, the robot should push the peg downwards. While high level execution frameworks such as state machines and behavior trees are commonly used to formalize such decision-making problems, these frameworks require a mechanism to detect the high-level symbolic state. Handcrafting heuristics to identify symbolic states can be brittle, and using data-driven methods can produce noisy predictions, particularly when working with limited datasets, as is common in real-world robotic scenarios. This paper proposes a Bayesian state estimation method to predict symbolic states with predicate classifiers. This method requires little training data and allows fusing noisy observations from multiple sensor modalities. We evaluate our framework on a set of real-world peg-in-hole and connector-socket insertion tasks, demonstrating its ability to classify symbolic states and to generalize to unseen tasks, outperforming baseline methods. We also demonstrate the ability of our method to improve the robustness of manipulation policies on a real robot.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it