270 Mathematically optimised public access defibrillator placement – fairness or accessibility?
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
<h3>Background</h3> Mathematical optimisation can be used to maximise public access defibrillator (PAD) accessibility for out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA). It is unclear whether enforcing ‘fairness’ (defined as parity of PAD accessibilty) across city wards would impact resulting PAD accessibility compared to an unconstrained approach. <h3>Method</h3> We included all suspected OHCAs responded to by the Scottish Ambulance Service (SAS) in the cities of Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen, and Dundee between Jan. 2011 – Sept. 2017, and PADs registered with SAS as of Feb. 2020. We computed the accessibility (defined as within 100 m of OHCA) for existing PADs and developed a mathematical model to select locations for additional PADs under two scenarios: (1) select optimal locations across whole cities, and (2) select optimal locations distributed equally between city wards. Up to 20 additional PAD locations per ward were considered. For both scenarios, we compared PAD accessibility on out-of-sample OHCAs using McNemar’s test and fairness across wards using the Nash social welfare function. <h3>Results</h3> We identified 14,674 OHCA responses and 424 existing PADs. Existing PADs were within range of 1.1% of OHCAs (0.4–2.0% per city). Optimising new PAD locations per city, regardless of wards, increased PAD accessibility to 15.4% of OHCAs (14.9–17.9% per city). Constraining an equal number of PADs in each ward resulted in accessibility loss of 0.2–1.4 percentage points depending on the quantity of PADs placed (P<0.05 for 18 of 20 cases) but improved fairness values by up to 89% for smaller quantities of PADs. <h3>Conclusion</h3> Enforcing ward-level parity when selecting optimal new PAD locations results in fairer but less accessible PADs for OHCA. <h3>Conflict of interest</h3> None. <h3>Funding</h3> Grant funding was provided by the Scottish Government.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it