Fatality Prediction for Motor Vehicle Collisions: Mining Big Data Using Deep Learning and Ensemble Methods
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Motor vehicle crashes are one of the most common causes of fatalities on the roads. Real-time severity prediction of such crashes may contribute towards reducing the rate of fatality. In this study, the fundamental goal is to develop machine learning models that predict whether the outcome of a collision will be fatal or not. A Canadian road crash dataset containing 5.8 million records is utilized in this research. In this study, ensemble models have been developed using majority and soft voting to address the class imbalance in the dataset. The prediction accuracy of approximately 75% is achieved using Convolutional Neural Networks. Moreover, a comprehensive analysis of the attributes that are important in distinguishing between fatal vs. non-fatal motor vehicle collisions has been presented in this paper. In-depth information content analysis reveals the factors that contribute the most in the prediction model. These include roadway characteristics and weather conditions at the time of the crash, vehicle type, time when the collision happen, road user class and their position, any safety device used, and the status of traffic control. With real-time data based on weather and road conditions, an automated warning system can potentially be developed utilizing the prediction model employed in this study.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it