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Record W4281676701 · doi:10.1080/24725854.2022.2067915

Modeling and optimization for multiple correlated responses with distribution variability

2022· article· en· W4281676701 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueIISE Transactions · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicOptimal Experimental Design Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
FundersCanadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaNational Natural Science Foundation of China
KeywordsCopula (linguistics)Joint probability distributionSmoothingNonparametric statisticsMultivariate statisticsParametric statisticsMultivariate normal distributionMathematical optimizationComputer scienceMarginal distributionSemiparametric modelEconometricsMathematicsStatisticsMachine learningRandom variable

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In production design processes, multiple correlated responses with different distributions are often encountered. The existing literature usually assumes that they follow normal distributions for computational convenience, and then analyzes these responses using traditional parametric methods. A few research papers assume that they follow the same type of distribution, such as the t-distribution, and then use a multivariate joint distribution to deal with the correlation. However, these methods give a poor approximation to the actual problem and may lead to the recommended settings that yield substandard products. In this article, we propose a new method for the robust parameter design that can solve the above problems. Specifically, a semiparametric model is used to estimate the margins, and then a joint distribution function is constructed using a multivariate copula function. Finally, the probability that the responses meet the specifications simultaneously is used to obtain the optimal settings. The advantages of the proposed method lie in the consideration of multiple correlation patterns among responses, the absence of restrictions on the response distributions, and the use of nonparametric smoothing to reduce the risk of model misspecification. The results of the case study and the simulation study validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.734
Threshold uncertainty score0.695

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.105
GPT teacher head0.387
Teacher spread0.282 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it