Trace Oddity: Methodologies for Data-Driven Traffic Analysis on Tor
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Traffic analysis attacks against encrypted web traffic are a persisting problem. However, there is a large gap between the scientific estimate of attack threats and the real-world situation. As traffic analysis attacks depend on very specific metadata information, they are sensitive to artificial changes in the transmission characteristics. While the advent of deep learning greatly improves the performance rates of traffic analysis attacks on Tor in research settings, deep neural networks are known for being implicitly vulnerable to artifacts in data. Removing artifacts from our experimental setups is essential to minimizing the risk of evaluation bias. In this work, we study a state-of-the-art end-to-end traffic correlation attack on Tor and propose a novel data collection setup. Our design addresses the key constraint of prior work: instead of using a single proxy node for collecting exit traffic, we deploy multiple proxies. Our extensive analysis shows that in the multi-proxy design (i) end-to-end round-trip times are more realistic than in the original design, and that (ii) traffic correlation attack performance degrades significantly on realistic timings. For a reliable and informative evaluation, we develop a general scientific methodology for replication and comparison of machine and deep-learning attacks on Tor. Our evaluation indicates high relevance of the multi-proxy data collection setup and the novel dataset.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.033 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".