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Record W4286977784 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2109.07005

WaveCorr: Correlation-savvy Deep Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio\n Management

2021· preprint· W4286977784 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2021
Typepreprint
Language
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReinforcement learningPortfolioExploitComputer scienceAsset managementProject portfolio managementSharpe ratioArtificial intelligenceInvariant (physics)Asset allocationPortfolio optimizationAsset (computer security)EconometricsEconomicsMathematicsFinancial economicsFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The problem of portfolio management represents an important and challenging\nclass of dynamic decision making problems, where rebalancing decisions need to\nbe made over time with the consideration of many factors such as investors\npreferences, trading environments, and market conditions. In this paper, we\npresent a new portfolio policy network architecture for deep reinforcement\nlearning (DRL)that can exploit more effectively cross-asset dependency\ninformation and achieve better performance than state-of-the-art architectures.\nIn particular, we introduce a new property, referred to as \\textit{asset\npermutation invariance}, for portfolio policy networks that exploit multi-asset\ntime series data, and design the first portfolio policy network, named\nWaveCorr, that preserves this invariance property when treating asset\ncorrelation information. At the core of our design is an innovative permutation\ninvariant correlation processing layer. An extensive set of experiments are\nconducted using data from both Canadian (TSX) and American stock markets (S&P\n500), and WaveCorr consistently outperforms other architectures with an\nimpressive 3%-25% absolute improvement in terms of average annual return, and\nup to more than 200% relative improvement in average Sharpe ratio. We also\nmeasured an improvement of a factor of up to 5 in the stability of performance\nunder random choices of initial asset ordering and weights. The stability of\nthe network has been found as particularly valuable by our industrial partner.\n

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.844
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.004
Science and technology studies0.0020.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0030.005
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.139
GPT teacher head0.273
Teacher spread0.133 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it