Simulation of stability or failure of a combustion front during in-situ combustion in a Post-SAGD process
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The highly viscous nature of heavy oil/bitumen in the Lloydminster area leads to difficulty for oil recovery and production. In-situ combustion (ISC) is an attractive candidate as a post-SAGD (steam assisted gravity drainage) operation to improve oil mobilization and maximize oil production. The objective of the study was to demonstrate that the stability or failure of a combustion front when in-situ combustion is implemented in a post-SAGD reservoir can be realistically simulated on the basis of a sound understanding of the underlying chemical reactions, whose rates and stoichiometry have been determined from laboratory measurements. This accomplishment represents a significant step towards an improved application of the in-situ combustion processes. The simulations were performed with the Computer Modelling Group's (CMG) commercial simulator STARS. Four dominant ISC chemical reactions (i.e., pyrolysis of non-volatile oil, low-temperature oxidation, pyrolysis of partially oxidized oil, and combustion) were developed on the basis of available experimental data. Material and energy balances were applied. A representative fluid properties package was obtained by tuning components' parameters to match with available vapor-liquid equilibrium data. ISC was initiated after the steam-assisted gravity drainage stage had been simulated. By successively reducing the simulated initial (pre-SAGD) oil saturation in steps, it was shown that the combustion front changed from stable propagation to being extinguished at a low initial oil saturation around 0.06, for which a combustion-front temperature of 400 °C was maintained. The residual oil saturation approached zero after combustion.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it