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Record W4313268847 · doi:10.54691/bcpbm.v34i.3018

Subscribers Forecasting of Netflix Based on Multiple Linear Models

2022· article· en· W4313268847 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueBCP Business & Management · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicConsumer Market Behavior and Pricing
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPlan (archaeology)Computer scienceEconometricsBusinessMarketingEconomicsGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Netflix is one of the world's leading entertainment services, with millions of subscribers all over the world. To make a prediction of the expected number of future subscribers is a meaningful and valuable research topic. However, there is no authoritative model to help make predictions. Therefore, this study will explore the relationship between possible factors and the number of future subscribers in terms of the data from Netflix over the years. Subsequently, some candidate multiple linear regression models are constructed and the “best” model is selected to help make predictions. The final model shows that the number of subscribers is related to four variables, i.e., a negative relationship with the price of the basic plan, a positive relationship with the price of the standard plan, the number of countries where Netflix is available and the medium level of annual world income. The data on the number of subscribers over the years shows an increase in subscribers every year, as well as the amount of growth varies from year to year. In other words, the increase in the price of the basic plan may lead to a decrease in the number of subscribers, while the increase in the price of the standard plan, in the number of countries where Netflix is available and in the medium level of annual world income may lead to an incline in it. These results shed light on guiding further exploration of having a practical method to predict the number of future subscribers for Netflix.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.481
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.050
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.175 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it