Reliability analysis of structures using probability density evolution method and stochastic spectral embedding surrogate model
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This study presents an efficient reliability analysis method using probability density evolution method (PDEM) and stochastic spectral embedding (SSE) based surrogate model. The PDEM is used to estimate the structural response's probability density function (PDF). The PDEM is derived based on the principle of probability conservation where generalized density evolution equations (GDEEs) are decoupled from the physical system. The GDEEs are solved using finite difference method coupled with total variation diminishing, in which a set of representative points of random parameters are generated using the generalized F‐discrepancy scheme. To obtain satisfactory accuracy of the numerical solution, representative points are needed, which becomes computationally expensive for complex structures. To reduce the computation burden, the SSE is used, which approximates the original response surface. The SSE is a class of supervised machine learning algorithm where it is trained by few observations and enables output prediction as spectral representation. This is achieved by minimizing the residual using domain decomposition technique. To illustrate the proposed SSE‐based PDEM, three numerical examples are investigated, including the reliability analysis of four‐branch problem and shear building frame subjected to ground acceleration, and the reliability‐based design optimization of a moment‐resisting frame coupled with the nonlinear energy sink with negative stiffness and sliding friction. Numerical results show that the proposed SSE‐based PDEM can estimate failure probability using a very small number of representative points without compromising accuracy compared with Monte Carlo simulation, which leads to a reduction in computational costs.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it