Rapid Guessing in Low-Stakes Assessments: Finding the Optimal Response Time Threshold with Random Search and Genetic Algorithm
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Rapid guessing is an aberrant response behavior that commonly occurs in low-stakes assessments with little to no formal consequences for students. Recently, the availability of response time (RT) information in computer-based assessments has motivated researchers to develop various methods to detect rapidly guessed responses systematically. These methods often require researchers to identify an RT threshold subjectively for each item that could distinguish rapid guessing behavior from solution behavior. In this study, we propose a data-driven approach based on random search and genetic algorithm to search for the optimal RT threshold within a predefined search space. We used response data from a low-stakes math assessment administered to over 5000 students in 658 schools across the United States. As we demonstrated how to use our data-driven approach, we also compared its performance with those of the existing threshold-setting methods. The results show that the proposed method could produce viable RT thresholds for detecting rapid guessing in low-stakes assessments. Moreover, compared with the other threshold-setting methods, the proposed method yielded more liberal RT thresholds, flagging a larger number of responses. Implications for practice and directions for future research were discussed.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it