Study of Climate Change in the Mandalika International Circuit Area Using Neural Network Backpropagation
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Climate change is a global phenomenon that also causes small-scale effects. This study aims to determine future climate changes in the Mandalika International Circuit area using the artificial neural network of the MATLAB GUI-based backpropagation method. The simulation stage used daily rainfall intensity data collected in the Mandalika International Circuit area from 2012-2021 (365 data). A preliminary analysis concluded that the Mandalika International Circuit area is dominated by a very wet climate according to the Schmidt-Ferguson classification, which occurred in 2012, 2013, 2017, and 2021. This study used two architectural models with two and three hidden layers. The TRAINRP training function and the LOGSIG activation function were utilized at each hidden layer. Between the two architectures, the better architecture was selected, namely the 100-50-10-1 (three hidden layers) that resulted in an accuracy rate of 99.90% and an MSE of 0.0412376 achieved in the 258th iteration. These results indicate that the area has a very wet climate with the highest rain intensity in March and the lowest in January. The results of this study show that the backpropagation method can be used to help formulate an alternative policy on the measures for handling and mitigating extreme climate change in upcoming periods, especially during international events at the Mandalika International Circuit area.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it