Inventory Forecasting Analysis using The Weighted Moving Average Method in Go Public Trading Companies
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This research aims to analyze inventory forecasting using the weighted moving average method and then compare the trading companies' patterns. The research method used is quantitative descriptive with secondary data of inventory in the period 2018-2022 which provide quarterly. This research uses the weighted moving average method to calculate forecasting of inventory by Microsoft Excel data analysis techniques. This research shows the highest inventory forecasting on PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT) occurs in the first quarter of 2023 with the amount of 10.537.541 and the lowest forecasting occurs in the second quarter in 2023 with the amount of 10.431.677. The highest inventory forecasting on PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA) occurs in the second quarter of 2023 with the amount of 6.443.525 and the lowest forecasting in the fourth quarter of 2023 with the amount of 6.418.659. The highest inventory forecasting on PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) occurs in the third quarter of 2023 with the amount of 12.239.422 and the lowest forecasting in the first quarter of 2023 with the amount of 12.050.681. Based on the study's results, the tracking signal value at AMRT was 2,17, ERAA was 0.01, and UNTR was -0.08. The three companies' results prove that the weighted moving average can be used to determine inventory forecasting for the next period because the tracking signal value is still within the control limits of ±4.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it