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Record W4352990973 · doi:10.54691/bcpbm.v36i.3489

Stock Market Analysis and Prediction Using LSTM

2023· article· en· W4352990973 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueBCP Business & Management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStock marketVolatility (finance)Stock (firearms)Financial economicsStock market bubbleFinancial marketEconomicsBusinessFinanceEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Even for professionals and analysts, predicting the value of stocks has proved to be a challenging endeavor. Because they shed light on the expected future path of the stock market, accurate prediction systems for the stock market are beneficial to traders, investors, and analysts. This is because traders, investors, and analysts can better anticipate the market's behavior. The increase in available choices for financial investments has contributed to the complexity and unpredictability of the stock market. The goal of this project is to develop a model that could precisely depicting the market’s complexity as well as its high degree of volatility. The long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture of a neural network was implemented in this study to estimate Apple's next day closing price throughout the preceding decade. To forecast how the stock market will behave, its six fundamental indicators are integrated in a logical and well-balanced way. These indicators account for fundamental market data, macroeconomic data, and technical indications.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.949
Threshold uncertainty score0.723

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.014
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.141
GPT teacher head0.402
Teacher spread0.261 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it