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Record W4363675596 · doi:10.47765/0869-5997-2023-10001

Prospects for the natural uranium world market

2023· article· en· W4363675596 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
И.В. Егорова

Bibliographic record

VenueOres and metals · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicMining and Gasification Technologies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsUraniumEconomic shortageNuclear powerEnriched uraniumNatural uraniumNatural resource economicsResource (disambiguation)Production (economics)BusinessRaw materialEnvironmental scienceUranium oreDepleted uraniumNatural resourceNuclear fuelWaste managementEngineeringComputer scienceNuclear engineeringEconomicsChemistry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Various scenarios for development of the world uranium industry are considered, and an assumption is made of a high probability of the rapid growth scenario, according to the IAEA, which assumes an annual growth rate of the total nuclear power plants (NPPs) capacity of 2-2.5%. Based on this forecast, an assessment is made of capabilities of the uranium world mineral base to meet the NPPs needs in the nuclear fuel. It is demonstrated that only the restoration of production at temporary closed down mining enterprises, the growth of output at existing mines, and using secondary sources of uranium guarantee a sufficient amount of the raw materials to meet the demand for uranium in the next decade. Moreover, the shortage of raw materials for nuclear fuel in the near future may again be replaced by its excess. However, by the end of the current or early next decade, due to the depletion of the resource base of some operating mines, including Four Mile and Cigar Lake in Canada, the capacities of mining enterprises will be insufficient to meet the fuel needs of NPPs. A shortage of uranium may appear again, that will grow rapidly in the future. This will mean a new round of growth in prices for natural uranium, which, in turn, will stimulate an increase in uranium production throughout the world and will expand the prospects for the implementation of projects for the development of new uranium deposits in Russia, primarily Argunskoe and Zherlovoe in the Streltsovskoe uranium ore region

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.039
Threshold uncertainty score0.131

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.004
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0030.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0390.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.237
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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